The Macro Minute with Darius Dale Podcast Por 42 Macro arte de portada

The Macro Minute with Darius Dale

The Macro Minute with Darius Dale

De: 42 Macro
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 The Macro Minute is a daily morning podcast of what 42 Macro Founder & CEO Darius Dale is seeing in the overnight markets and where he\'s focused before the US stock market open.Copyright 2025 All rights reserved. Economía Finanzas Personales
Episodios
  • What is the weak U.S. dollar signaling for broader asset markets?

    What is the weak U.S. dollar signaling for broader asset markets?
    May 21 2025
    In this episode, experts explore the implications of a weakening U.S. dollar amid speculation of policy shifts at the upcoming G7 summit, particularly under the Trump administration’s approach to enhancing manufacturing competitiveness. The discussion delves into how coordinated currency policies, alongside populist fiscal expansion, align with broader market trends such as rising multinational earnings and bullish risk assets. Listeners gain insights into the KISS portfolio’s strategic shifts—illustrated by recent moves into Bitcoin and the S&P 500—as well as systematic models (like Dr. Mo and the GRID and Macro Weather Models) that guide market positioning in a REFLATION regime. The podcast also examines risks such as potential yen carry trade unwinds and the evolving landscape of structural fiscal challenges, offering a comprehensive view of current and future asset market dynamics.
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    9 m
  • The Macro Minute

    The Macro Minute
    May 20 2025
    The Macro Minute
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    10 m
  • Should you downgrade the US in your portfolio?

    Should you downgrade the US in your portfolio?
    May 19 2025
    In this episode, the discussion kicks off with Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. sovereign rating from AAA to AA1 and examines the implications of the so‐called “Sell America” trade. Despite symbolic effects, the downgrade highlights concerns over deteriorating fiscal metrics that no longer balance America’s economic strengths. The podcast delves into a portfolio strategy that maintains long positions in U.S. equities and corporate credit while shorting the dollar and Treasurys, set against a backdrop of fiscal expansion, deregulation, and tariffs—a framework dubbed Paradigm C. Quantitative signals including a bullish macro weather model, an inflation regime per the GRID Model, and a risk-on Reflation environment are discussed alongside tactical positioning models. The host also addresses common client queries regarding potential Fed or Treasury reactions, ultimately noting that past downgrades have not led to immediate policy shifts, with market reactions more closely tied to dovish pivots in financing approaches.
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    9 m
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