
How Not to Be Wrong
The Power of Mathematical Thinking
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Narrado por:
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Jordan Ellenberg
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De:
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Jordan Ellenberg
Acerca de esta escucha
The Freakonomics of math - a math-world superstar unveils the hidden beauty and logic of the world and puts its power in our hands.
The math we learn in school can seem like a dull set of rules, laid down by the ancients and not to be questioned. In How Not to Be Wrong, Jordan Ellenberg shows us how terribly limiting this view is: Math isn’t confined to abstract incidents that never occur in real life, but rather touches everything we do—the whole world is shot through with it.
Math allows us to see the hidden structures underneath the messy and chaotic surface of our world. It’s a science of not being wrong, hammered out by centuries of hard work and argument. Armed with the tools of mathematics, we can see through to the true meaning of information we take for granted: How early should you get to the airport? What does “public opinion” really represent? Why do tall parents have shorter children? Who really won Florida in 2000? And how likely are you, really, to develop cancer?
How Not to Be Wrong presents the surprising revelations behind all of these questions and many more, using the mathematician’s method of analyzing life and exposing the hard-won insights of the academic community to the layman—minus the jargon. Ellenberg chases mathematical threads through a vast range of time and space, from the everyday to the cosmic, encountering, among other things, baseball, Reaganomics, daring lottery schemes, Voltaire, the replicability crisis in psychology, Italian Renaissance painting, artificial languages, the development of non-Euclidean geometry, the coming obesity apocalypse, Antonin Scalia’s views on crime and punishment, the psychology of slime molds, what Facebook can and can’t figure out about you, and the existence of God.
Ellenberg pulls from history as well as from the latest theoretical developments to provide those not trained in math with the knowledge they need. Math, as Ellenberg says, is “an atomic-powered prosthesis that you attach to your common sense, vastly multiplying its reach and strength.” With the tools of mathematics in hand, you can understand the world in a deeper, more meaningful way. How Not to Be Wrong will show you how.
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Reseñas de la Crítica
"Brilliantly engaging...Ellenberg’s talent for finding real-life situations that enshrine mathematical principles would be the envy of any math teacher. He presents these in fluid succession, like courses in a fine restaurant, taking care to make each insight shine through, unencumbered by jargon or notation. Part of the sheer intellectual joy of the book is watching the author leap nimbly from topic to topic, comparing slime molds to the Bush-Gore Florida vote, criminology to Beethoven’s Ninth Symphony. The final effect is of one enormous mosaic unified by mathematics." (Manil Suri, The Washington Post)
"Easy-to-follow, humorously presented.... This book will help you to avoid the pitfalls that result from not having the right tools. It will help you realize that mathematical reasoning permeates our lives - that it can be, as Mr. Ellenberg writes, a kind of 'X-ray specs that reveal hidden structures underneath the messy and chaotic surface of the world'." (Mario Livio, The Wall Street Journal)
"Witty, compelling, and just plain fun to read.... How Not to Be Wrong can help you explore your mathematical superpowers." (Evelyn Lamb, Scientific American)
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Historia
From batting averages and political polls to game shows and medical research, the real-world application of statistics continues to grow by leaps and bounds. How can we catch schools that cheat on standardized tests? How does Netflix know which movies you'll like? What is causing the rising incidence of autism? As best-selling author Charles Wheelan shows us in Naked Statistics, the right data and a few well-chosen statistical tools can help us answer these questions and more.
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Starts well then becomes non-Audible
- De Michael en 09-07-13
De: Charles Wheelan
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The Signal and the Noise
- Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't
- De: Nate Silver
- Narrado por: Mike Chamberlain
- Duración: 16 h y 21 m
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Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger - all by the time he was 30. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data.
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Learn About Statistics Without All The Math
- De Scott Fabel en 03-09-13
De: Nate Silver
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The Drunkard's Walk
- How Randomness Rules Our Lives
- De: Leonard Mlodinow
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 9 h y 19 m
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In this irreverent and illuminating audiobook, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, chance, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious causes, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.
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Interested in statistics? This is the book.
- De Robert en 02-21-14
De: Leonard Mlodinow
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How Not to Be Wrong
- The Art of Changing Your Mind
- De: James O'Brien
- Narrado por: James O'Brien
- Duración: 5 h y 21 m
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In his best-selling How to Be Right, James provided an invigorating guide to how to talk to people with bad opinions. And yet the question he always gets asked is: 'if you're so sure about everything, haven't you ever changed your mind?' In an age of us vs them, tribal loyalties and bitter divisions, the ability to change our minds may be the most important power we have. In this intimate, personal new book, James' focus shifts from talking to other people to how you talk to yourself about what you really think.
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Life changing
- De Mr. Chris en 11-04-22
De: James O'Brien
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The Meaning of it All
- Thoughts of a Citizen-Scientist
- De: Richard P. Feynman
- Narrado por: Raymond Todd
- Duración: 2 h y 50 m
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In this collection of lectures that Richard Feynman originally gave in 1963, unpublished during his lifetime, the Nobel Prize-winning physicist discusses several of the ultimate questions of science. What is the nature of the tension between science and religious faith? Why does uncertainty play such a crucial role in the scientific imagination? Is this really a scientific age?
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Meh....
- De Brain en 10-15-17
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The Theory That Would Not Die
- How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy
- De: Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
- Narrado por: Laural Merlington
- Duración: 11 h y 51 m
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Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. Sharon Bertsch McGrayne here explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it.
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Who is the intended audience?
- De Billy en 07-21-14
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Math Without Numbers
- De: Milo Beckman
- Narrado por: Soneela Nankani
- Duración: 3 h y 53 m
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This is an audiobook about math, but it contains no numbers. Math Without Numbers is a vivid, conversational, and wholly original guide to the three main branches of abstract math - topology, analysis, and algebra - which turn out to be surprisingly easy to grasp. This audiobook upends the conventional approach to math, inviting you to think creatively about shape and dimension, the infinite and infinitesimal, symmetries, proofs, and how these concepts all fit together. Join this freewheeling tour of the inimitable joys and unsolved mysteries of this curiously powerful subject.
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please leave your politics at home
- De david malaguti en 09-23-23
De: Milo Beckman
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How to Lie with Statistics
- De: Darrell Huff
- Narrado por: Bryan DePuy
- Duración: 3 h
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Darrell Huff's celebrated classic How to Lie With Statistics is a straightforward and engaging guide to understanding the manipulation and misrepresentation of information that could be lurking behind every graph, chart, and infographic. Originally published in 1954, it remains as relevant and necessary as ever in our digital world, where information is king - and as easy to distort and manipulate as it is to access.
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No longer deceived
- De Richard en 06-14-16
De: Darrell Huff
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The Art of Statistics
- How to Learn from Data
- De: David Spiegelhalter
- Narrado por: Jonathan Davis
- Duración: 9 h y 1 m
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Statistics are everywhere, as integral to science as they are to business, and in the popular media hundreds of times a day. In this age of big data, a basic grasp of statistical literacy is more important than ever if we want to separate the fact from the fiction, the ostentatious embellishments from the raw evidence - and even more so if we hope to participate in the future, rather than being simple bystanders.
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very good statistics overview
- De Tom en 11-29-19
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The Possibility of Life
- Science, Imagination, and Our Quest for Kinship in the Cosmos
- De: Jaime Green
- Narrado por: Jaime Green
- Duración: 8 h y 25 m
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One of the most powerful questions humans ask about the cosmos is: Are we alone? While the science behind this inquiry is fascinating, it doesn’t exist in a vacuum. It is a reflection of our values, our fears, and most importantly, our enduring sense of hope. In The Possibility of Life, acclaimed science journalist Jaime Green traces the history of our understanding, from the days of Galileo and Copernicus to our contemporary quest for exoplanets. Along the way, she interweaves insights from science fiction writers who construct worlds that in turn inspire scientists.
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A dazzling journey into the vast depths of life’s meaning!
- De E. McDermott en 08-11-23
De: Jaime Green
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Superforecasting
- The Art and Science of Prediction
- De: Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner
- Narrado por: Joel Richards
- Duración: 9 h y 45 m
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Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.
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Great for Experts
- De Michael en 02-20-17
De: Philip Tetlock, y otros
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Algorithms to Live By
- The Computer Science of Human Decisions
- De: Brian Christian, Tom Griffiths
- Narrado por: Brian Christian
- Duración: 11 h y 50 m
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From finding a spouse to finding a parking spot, from organizing one's inbox to understanding the workings of human memory, Algorithms to Live By transforms the wisdom of computer science into strategies for human living.
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Great listen, just don't expect tips!
- De Adam Hosman en 08-07-17
De: Brian Christian, y otros
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Bernoulli's Fallacy
- Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
- De: Aubrey Clayton
- Narrado por: Tim H. Dixon
- Duración: 15 h y 14 m
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Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the 17th-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it.
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Rigorously Bayesian
- De Anonymous User en 01-25-22
De: Aubrey Clayton
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Humble Pi
- When Math Goes Wrong in the Real World
- De: Matt Parker
- Narrado por: Matt Parker
- Duración: 9 h y 33 m
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Exploring and explaining a litany of glitches, near misses, and mathematical mishaps involving the internet, big data, elections, street signs, lotteries, the Roman Empire, and an Olympic team, Matt Parker uncovers the bizarre ways math trips us up, and what this reveals about its essential place in our world. Getting it wrong has never been more fun.
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Fascinating & enlightening even for da mathphobic✏️
- De C. White en 01-23-20
De: Matt Parker
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The Data Detective
- Ten Easy Rules to Make Sense of Statistics
- De: Tim Harford
- Narrado por: Tim Harford
- Duración: 10 h y 24 m
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Today we think statistics are the enemy, numbers used to mislead and confuse us. That’s a mistake, Tim Harford says in The Data Detective. We shouldn’t be suspicious of statistics - we need to understand what they mean and how they can improve our lives: they are, at heart, human behavior seen through the prism of numbers and are often “the only way of grasping much of what is going on around us”.
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I expected more
- De A. Visserman en 03-09-21
De: Tim Harford
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre How Not to Be Wrong
Con calificación alta para:
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- Amazon Customer
- 11-11-17
Great book
I found some of the mathematical equations difficult to follow by ear so it might be worth getting the digital version to follow along with, but I found the topic approachable and very interesting.
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- Amazo
- 03-15-19
Reasoning
Lovely book on reasoning. I reccomend it to anyone interested in the study of critical thinking
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- JakeyPoo
- 09-15-20
I don’t write reviews
This book was ******* great! I really can’t explain how great it was. It’s worth your time.
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- Mingcui Zhou
- 07-10-17
Very enlightening
Interesting and enlightening. It is a little bit difficult to follow the equation and numbers in the audible version though. But one can still get a general idea.
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esto le resultó útil a 4 personas
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- Sarah Elkinton
- 08-24-17
listen to this before taking stats
Read this book before taking a stats class. It will make your life much better. fun and informative. Maybe if I had read this as a teenager I would have gone into the sciences....
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- Robert
- 08-06-18
Somewhat interesting
Has some good stories that will make you rethink how data and “facts” are presented. Unfortunately has too much of a political bend and clear agenda that author is pushing to be really a good book.
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- Jorge
- 09-30-16
Interesting use of mathematics to think critically
I didn't particularly like the voice. However the content of the book kept me engaged; it was an enjoyable listen.
It applies basic but important lessons in mathematics (specially from probability) to a varied list of examples, from war to lottery to religion to wearing the same shirt day after day. This is a refreshing take on how mathematics is a tool to analyze the world around us.
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- Michael
- 08-01-16
hard to follow
kinda hard to underpin you are not good with maths. but other than that really interesting
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- Ronrock
- 04-14-21
Very Enlightening
I found this book to be very enlightening, tying the practical to its base in the seemingly esoteric and unknowable. It is an exceptional read, or listen, as the case may be.
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- Dan
- 12-20-16
Interesting book to listen to!
Useful in you don't want to get trapped into the to day statistics. Don't expect to learn math with it!
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