Episodes

  • Your pension could be stuck in limbo. Here’s how to prevent it

    Your pension could be stuck in limbo. Here’s how to prevent it
    Feb 21 2025
    Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Friday, February 21st, 2025. This is Nelson John, let's get started. Your daily cup of coffee is set to become more expensive. Global coffee prices have surged due to supply shortages in major producing countries like Brazil and Vietnam. Brazil faces its worst drought in over four decades, severely impacting coffee yields. Similarly, Vietnam has been hit by typhoons and erratic rainfall, disrupting harvests and lowering bean quality. These challenges have pushed Robusta futures to a record high of $5,849 per tonne, with Arabica prices rising about 70% in 2024. In India, coffee consumption is steadily rising, making price hikes more impactful than ever, reports Suneera Tandon. Specialty coffee chains like Blue Tokai have already increased prices and may implement further hikes. Packaged coffee brands are also feeling the squeeze, with the Indian Coffee Roasters’ Association announcing a ₹200 per kilo hike in powdered Arabica and Robusta. Major brands like Nestlé, which sells Nescafé, acknowledge the impact of skyrocketing coffee costs, with coffee prices up 75% year-on-year. While some chains strive to avoid passing the burden onto consumers, the sustained rise in global coffee prices makes it challenging to absorb the increased costs. As a result, your morning brew is likely to see a price increase in the near future. Microsoft has unveiled Majorana 1, (MayoRANA) a breakthrough quantum chip that could bring industrial-scale quantum computing within years, not decades. Built with an innovative material called a topoconductor, this chip is designed to scale up to a million qubits on a single processor—potentially transforming computing as we know it. Unlike classical computers, which process information in binary (0s and 1s), quantum computers leverage qubits, which can exist in multiple states at once. This enables them to perform complex calculations exponentially faster, with potential applications in AI, financial modeling, drug discovery, and climate research. Microsoft’s approach relies on Majorana particles, a unique type of theoretical particle that could make quantum computing more stable and scalable. While tech giants like Google and IBM have also made strides in quantum computing, Microsoft’s announcement signals that commercial quantum applications could be closer than anticipated. With this breakthrough, the race to harness quantum power is accelerating, bringing us one step closer to solving problems beyond the reach of today’s computers. When switching jobs, you probably focus on transferring or withdrawing your provident fund (PF), assuming all your savings are covered. But what if part of your money was stuck—unclaimed and inaccessible? That’s what happened to Mr. A. While he successfully withdrew his PF, his Employees’ Pension Scheme (EPS) contributions remained unmerged. Without linking past EPS accounts, his withdrawal request was denied. Unlike PF, EPS doesn’t transfer automatically—it requires an extra step that many employees overlook. Here’s the rule: Employers contribute 8.33% of your salary to EPS. If you’ve worked with both private PF trusts (exempt) and EPFO-managed (non-exempt) employers, your pension funds could be scattered. To withdraw or claim benefits, EPS must be transferred and merged. If you’ve worked for less than 10 years, you can withdraw your EPS—but only if it’s properly linked. Cross the 10-year mark, and withdrawal isn’t an option. Instead, you’ll need a pension scheme certificate to claim benefits at retirement. To avoid complications, always transfer EPS when changing jobs. Staying proactive ensures you don’t lose your hard-earned pension savings! Read Aparajita Sharma’s detailed report on this in today’s Mint Money.
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    9 mins
  • Key takeaways from the RBI’s monetary policy committee conference

    Key takeaways from the RBI’s monetary policy committee conference
    Feb 10 2025
    Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Monday, February 10, 2025. This is Nelson John, let's get started. Air traffic is booming in India. Manufacturers are actively seeking deals at the Aero India exhibition, highlighting the country's potential. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) is set to hold its annual general meeting in June in New Delhi, a testament to India's growing market influence. According to Airbus India's Remi Maillard, “ India is now the third-largest air market globally, after the U.S. and China”. Boeing's Salil Gupte echoed this sentiment, calling India the most dynamic and exciting market. The civil aviation ministry claims a meteoric rise in the sector, with traffic growth projected over seven percent annually until 2043. Although rail travel remains popular, it's often slow and chaotic. Boeing estimates that converting just two percent of daily train users to air travel could double the air market, given the current low per capita air travel of 0.12 compared to 0.46 in China. Going by these statistics, the Indian market will need at least 2,835 new aircraft in the next 20 years, and all major players like Indigo, Airbus and Air India are gunning for the Next big leap in the airline sector. Ola Electric will need to consistently sell 50,000 units every month in order to achieve profitability, says founder and chief executive officer (CEO) Bhavish Aggarwal. To be sure, Ola Electric has faced considerable criticism due to widespread customer complaints about poor service centre experience. In September last year, Mint reported that Ola’s service centre backlogs had risen to 80,000 customer complaints per month. Speaking to an analyst, Aggarwal claimed that the company had recaptured its market leadership in terms of volumes with 25,000 units sold in January. The company has consistently been under pressure, with Ola Electric’s shares losing about 2% on Friday alone to settle at ₹70 apiece on the BSE—only 8% off its all-time low. The company has suffered a quarterly net loss of ₹564 crore in the last quarter of 2024. Aggarwal, however, claimed that the company “maintained a steady industry leadership with a market share of over 25%.” The recent deportation of 104 illegal migrants to India by the US government has sparked controversy in the Indian Parliament. In the midst of this debate, Prime Minister Narendra Modi is scheduled to visit the United States from February 12 to 13, where he will engage in discussions with President Donald Trump, as quoted by Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri. Earlier, on January 27, President Trump and Prime Minister Modi held a conversation focused on immigration matters and the importance of India purchasing more American-made security equipment. The United States is India's largest trading partner, with two-way trade surpassing $118 billion in 2023/24, and India recording a trade surplus of $32 billion. As a strategic partner of the United States, India will aim to enhance trade relations, simplify access to skilled worker visas and review import tariffs on over 30 items, including luxury cars, and solar cells, potentially boosting imports from the US amid rising global trade tensions. 4) The Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy committee (MPC) on Friday cut the key policy interest rate by 25 basis points to 6.25% to support growth. At a post-policy press conference, new RBI governor Sanjay Malhotra spoke on a range of issues such as implementation of the proposed guidelines on liquidity coverage ratio (LCR), working with the government on various recommendations, geopolitical developments, and the cost of policy actions on regulated entities. It is not only about stability, the implementation of LCR norms comes at a cost. It requires a strict impact analysis and enough time to be implemented. While the Rupee depreciation puts pressure on inflation, a higher worry is how global uncertainties would pan out. 5) Religare Enterprises Ltd chairperson Rashmi Saluja informed shareholders at the company's annual general meeting (AGM) on Friday that she was not retiring as a director, a move that stumped shareholders and proxy advisory firms. However, a third of Religare's investors told Mint that they had voted against Saluja’s reappointment as director. Manendra Singh, partner at law firm Economic Laws Practice revealed that "Under the Companies Act, 2013, the chairman can regulate the manner in which voting is conducted, but cannot take away the voting rights of its members.” The Burman family, which owns a little over 25% of Religare, got approvals from all regulatory agencies and offered to buy up to 26% shares from minority investors via an open offer that opened on 27 January. Following the hearing on Gaekwad's appeal, the Supreme Court said the Burmans' open offer cannot be closed until the...
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    7 mins
  • SBI chairman on Q3 results

    SBI chairman on Q3 results
    Feb 7 2025
    Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Friday, February 7, 2025. This is Nelson John, let's get started. State Bank of India (SBI) posted a net profit of ₹16,891 crore for Q3 FY25, an 84.3% year-on-year surge. Chairman C.S. Setty highlighted a pickup in private capital expenditure, though sectors like steel remain sluggish, report Anshika Kayastha and Gopika Gopakumar. Despite these headwinds, SBI's corporate loan pipeline remains solid, with ₹4.8 trillion in sanctioned or under-process loans as of December-end. Setty is confident about meeting the bank’s 14-16% credit growth target for FY25, supported by budget measures aimed at boosting disposable income and consumption, which are expected to fuel credit demand. Global private equity giant Blackstone is exploring a potential sale of its majority stake in Bengaluru-based digital learning platform Simplilearn, report Mansi Verma and Sneha Shah. This comes more than three years after its initial $250 million investment. A Simplilearn spokesperson, however, has denied any plans for an exit or the appointment of investment bankers.Since acquiring over 60% of Simplilearn in 2021, Blackstone has seen the company recalibrate its strategy amid a broader slowdown in the edtech sector. Once focused on rapid expansion, Simplilearn has pivoted toward profitability, cutting its FY24 Ebitda losses by 75% by discontinuing select programs and doubling down on core offerings. This shift reflects the broader challenges in edtech, where reduced funding and the return of physical classes post-COVID have pushed many firms to prioritize sustainability over aggressive growth. Employees expecting bigger pay hikes this year may be in for a disappointment, as salary increments are set to be lower than last year’s, which were already the smallest in nearly a decade. Consultants and firms Devina Sengupta and Samiksha Goel spoke to cited slower corporate earnings and economic growth as key reasons for tighter budgets and more conservative raises. According to Aon's Annual Salary Increase and Turnover Survey 2023-24, the average salary hike stood at 9.3% in 2024, down from 9.7% in 2023. The outlook for 2025 is even softer, with Mercer forecasting an average increase of 9.4%, a sharp decline from the peak of 10.6% in 2022. With companies shifting focus from aggressive hiring to retaining top talent, some are offering unique perks—such as exclusive credit cards—to keep key employees engaged. However, only a select group of high performers is likely to see significant pay bumps. In a high-profile insider trading case, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has barred two former IT executives, Keyur Maniar and Ramit Chaudhri, from the securities market for a year. Maniar, a former senior vice president at Wipro, and Chaudhri, previously with Infosys, were found guilty of trading on confidential information about Infosys’ $1.89 billion deal with Vanguard before its public announcement on July 14, 2020. Sebi’s investigation revealed that Chaudhri shared details of the deal with Maniar, who then made ₹2.6 crore in profits from trading Infosys shares. The regulator’s surveillance system flagged unusual trading activity around the announcement, leading to a probe that confirmed the misuse of unpublished price-sensitive information. Jas Bardia and Varun Sood take a deep dive into the Sebi probe and how the case unfolded. Recent hits like Singham Again, Animal, and Bhool Bhulaiyaa 3 reveal a trend where most box office earnings are concentrated in the first week of release. Over 60% of a film's total revenue often comes within its opening days, signalling a shift towards shorter theatre runs. Lata Jha speaks with Rahul Puri of Mukta Arts, who notes that films now face immense pressure to perform immediately, especially with the quick transition to streaming platforms. For movies relying on word-of-mouth to gain traction, this presents a unique challenge. Devang Sampat from Cinepolis India emphasizes that while the opening weekend is key, sustaining positive reviews is crucial for a film’s long-term success.
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    7 mins
  • An interview with Sam Altman

    An interview with Sam Altman
    Feb 6 2025
    Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Thursday, February 6, 2025. This is Nelson John, let's get started. In January, Prime Minister Modi introduced Mission Mausam, a significant climate forecasting initiative, receiving ₹1,329 crore in funding for FY26. But is this sufficient? Soumya Gupta explores. The mission, overseen by the Ministry of Earth Sciences, aims to enhance India's climate change predictions and track extreme weather with new technologies, including AI-enhanced models and advanced satellites. Initially funded with ₹2,000 crore, its budget includes ₹671 crore for FY25 and the remainder for FY26. India's climate strategy extends beyond Mission Mausam. The Ministry has integrated four programs into its PRITHVI scheme, focusing on climate research in critical regions like the Arctic and Himalayas, with a budget exceeding ₹2,500 crore through FY26. Overall, India plans to allocate over ₹50,000 crore in FY25 and nearly ₹62,000 crore in FY26 to combat climate change. Despite these investments, they account for just 1.2% of the total budget for FY26, far from the ₹57 trillion pledged through 2030 for comprehensive climate change measures. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman advocates a full-stack approach for India's AI development, contrasting with his 2023 stance where he deemed competing in AI training as "hopeless." He discussed this shift in an interview with Hindustan Times’ editor-in-chief R Sukumar on Wednesday before reiterating his opinion at a discussion with IT minister Ashwini Vaishnaw the same morning. Altman points to a drastic cost reduction in AI, which now surpasses the rate predicted by Moore's Law, stating costs drop tenfold annually. This change supports more expansive AI initiatives, including foundational models which underpin technologies like ChatGPT. At his discussion with Altman later, IT minister Vaishnaw emphasized India's comprehensive strategy, from chip design to application development, drawing parallels to India's cost-effective space missions. He noted promising developments from six Indian entities poised to unveil foundational AI models within the year. In discussions with tech leaders and investors, Altman remarked on the immediate potential of AI to enhance scientific research and development significantly but tempered expectations about its current capabilities, such as curing diseases. India's services sector saw its slowest growth in over two years this January, with the HSBC India Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) reading dropping to 56.5 from December's 59.3, according to S&P Global. Despite this slowdown, the sector remains in expansion territory, above the 50-point mark that separates growth from contraction. Rhik Kundu reports that the dip is attributed to decreased customer numbers and a softer rise in sales and output. HSBC's chief India economist, Pranjul Bhandari, noted that both business activity and new business indices have not been this low since November 2022. However, the new export business has provided some cushion, reflecting a rebound in services exports as of December 2024. Simultaneously, India's manufacturing sector showed improvement, with the Manufacturing PMI climbing to a six-month high of 57.7 in January, driven by an increase in new export orders. India is currently experiencing two rare events: the Maha Kumbh in Prayagraj, occurring once every 144 years, and an unexpectedly cheerful middle class following the Union Budget 2025-26. This year’s budget has infused ₹1 trillion into the economy via tax rebates to middle-income earners, marking a significant shift in fiscal policy that could ripple through the economy and the equity markets. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced substantial tax breaks that not only increase disposable income but are set to initiate a beneficial economic cycle through the Marginal Propensity to Consume. For instance, an extra ₹50,000 in a taxpayer's pocket could lead to additional spending of ₹30,000, benefiting various sectors of the economy. This increased consumption is projected to generate an economic impact of ₹2.5 trillion, based on an MPC of 0.7, indicating a significant boost to economic activity. Abhishek Mukherjee takes a deep dive into how equity investors can ride the post-budget wave in today’s Long Story. Two former SpiceJet pilots have petitioned the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) in Delhi to declare the airline bankrupt over ₹3 crore in unpaid dues. The pilots, Sameer Breja and Karan Gupta, claim SpiceJet didn't pay salary arrears and other dues since 2020, exacerbated by the pandemic-induced salary cuts and new payment terms tied to operational benchmarks not initially agreed upon. SpiceJet dismisses the claims as "baseless and frivolous," stating that settlements are complete pending documentation from the pilots, Dhirendra Kumar and ...
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    8 mins
  • Can Rashmi Saluja hang on to Religare?

    Can Rashmi Saluja hang on to Religare?
    Feb 5 2025
    Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Wednesday, February 5, 2025. This is Nelson John, let's get started. Despite India's solid track record of fiscal discipline and a narrowing fiscal deficit, international rating agencies like Moody's and Fitch remain cautious about upgrading India's sovereign rating. Currently, Fitch Ratings assigns India a 'BBB-' with a stable outlook, which is the lowest investment grade, suggesting good credit quality but vulnerability to adverse conditions. Similarly, Moody's and S&P rate India at 'Baa3' and 'BBB-', respectively. This contrasts with China's 'A+' and the US's 'AA+', indicating higher credit qualities and lower default risks. The hesitation to upgrade India’s rating affects the cost of borrowing and investment attractiveness, crucial for economic growth, N Madhavan reports. Critics, including UNCTAD, argue that international rating agencies may be biased against emerging economies. Despite significant growth, robust financial systems, and strong foreign investor interest, India's rating has remained unchanged for two decades. India is set to develop its own AI chip, aiming to enhance its technological independence and global competitiveness. This initiative, led by the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology in collaboration with the Centre for Development of Advanced Computing (C-Dac) and the National e-Governance Division, focuses on creating a chip using the open-source 'Risc-V' architecture. The goal is to support academic researchers and startups in building foundational AI models, Shouvik Das reports. High-level discussions have involved not only Indian experts but also US Big Tech firms and Taiwan's TSMC, to craft a chip fully made in India by 2027, leveraging local talents and resources. This move is part of a broader strategy under the India AI Mission, aiming to establish a domestic chip production capability that reduces reliance on foreign technology, particularly in light of recent geopolitical tensions and supply chain vulnerabilities highlighted by US restrictions. Rashmi Saluja's tenure as chairperson at Religare Enterprises may be nearing an end amid a contentious takeover battle. Despite efforts to stabilize the company post-bankruptcy, about one-third of its investors have voted against her reappointment ahead of the upcoming AGM on February 7th. The Delhi High Court has also declined Saluja any interim relief to halt the AGM proceedings. Investors, including the Burman family who owns 25.1% of Religare, have expressed a desire for new management to steer the company towards growth. With 31.85% of shareholders, including financial firms and mutual funds, voting against her, Saluja’s reappointment seems unlikely unless there is an unexpectedly high turnout in her favour from smaller shareholders. The National Medical Commission (NMC) is gearing up to elevate India's postgraduate medical education to global standards by forming Specialty Expert Committees (SEC) for each speciality. Priyanka Sharma spoke to Dr B. Srinivas, secretary at the NMC, who said that these committees will develop model curriculums, assess educational institutions, and address academic needs, aiming to standardize and improve the quality of speciality courses across the country. This initiative, highlighted in a letter to medical colleges reviewed by Mint, also involves these expert committees in handling student grievances and other speciality-specific requirements. The NMC has called for nominations of faculty members ready to join this effort, with a deadline for submissions set for within 15 days. The move comes as part of a broader effort to address the disproportionate doctor-patient ratios in India by boosting both graduate and postgraduate medical manpower. Wingify, started in 2009 in Delhi, has grown significantly, boasting a global customer base and robust revenue growth, reaching ₹288.61 crore in 2023-24. This bootstrapped startup's success caught private equity firm Everstone's eye, especially Wingify’s self-sufficient growth and strong technology base. This acquisition aligns with Everstone’s focus on technology-driven firms, following a similar investment in MediaMint, Shadma Shaikh reports. The deal not only marks a significant phase for Wingify but also stands out as a successful bootstrapped venture in the SaaS space, showcasing that startups can achieve substantial growth without external funding. This event is seen as a boost for the Indian SaaS ecosystem, reflecting a mature, profitable company making a significant impact globally.
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    7 mins
  • Inside the political landscape of poll-bound Delhi

    Inside the political landscape of poll-bound Delhi
    Feb 4 2025
    Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Tuesday, February 4, 2025. This is Nelson John, let's get started. The Budget has introduced several agricultural schemes to boost crop productivity and improve credit access, particularly in 100 underperforming districts. However, its real impact may be limited, as many initiatives are underfunded and rely on existing programmes. For instance, despite growing climate risks, funding for the crucial crop insurance scheme has been slashed by ₹3,600 crore, while research funding has seen only a marginal increase. The budget’s approach could yield mixed results for farm incomes. While the government has promised to procure pulses at minimum support price, the effectiveness of this measure remains uncertain, given only a modest rise in the PM-AASHA scheme’s budget, which ensures farm-gate prices. At the same time, rising agricultural employment has put pressure on farm wages and productivity, adding to income stress. Sayantan Bera examines whether the Budget’s proposals can truly uplift rural India in today's Primer. The Indian government is considering scrapping the requirement for National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) approval in mergers of local listed companies, aiming to streamline the process and ease the judiciary’s burden. The move, currently under discussion among multiple ministries, could significantly reshape India’s mergers and acquisitions landscape by reducing bureaucratic delays, Anirudh Laskar reports. Introduced in 2016, fast-track mergers allowed certain companies to bypass lengthy NCLT approvals, which can take up to 10 months. The proposed change would extend this streamlined approach, enabling more mergers to proceed with just regulatory and shareholder consent, eliminating the need for court intervention. While the NCLT ensures fairness in mergers, experts argue that its involvement often causes unnecessary delays, exposing companies to market volatility and potential manipulation. Removing this step could accelerate deal-making and allow the NCLT to focus on critical cases like insolvency. India is moving to initiate formal trade discussions with the United States to secure protection against potential future tariffs. While the country avoided the initial round of tariffs imposed on Canada, Mexico, and China, Indian officials are keen on negotiating a formal exemption with the US Trade Representative, Dhirendra Kumar reports. These talks will emphasize India’s role as a key trade partner, particularly in sectors like pharmaceuticals, IT services, and leather, which are integral to US supply chains. The decision to engage follows President Donald Trump’s recent tariff moves, which have heightened global trade concerns. With a $35-billion trade surplus with the US, India managed to steer clear of the first wave of tariffs, aided by its diversified export portfolio, which includes engineering goods, jewellery, and textiles. These exports are not only critical to India’s economy but also to US businesses, reinforcing the mutual benefits of their trade relationship. Small-town restaurants in India are undergoing a digital transformation as food delivery giants like Zomato and Swiggy expand their reach. To stay competitive, these eateries are adopting restaurant management software such as DotPe, UrbanPiper, and PetPooja to streamline billing, inventory, customer relations, and payroll. India’s food services market—including online orders and dining out—is poised to nearly double to $152 billion by 2030. This surge is driven by the growing popularity of food and grocery delivery platforms, which are reshaping consumption patterns in tier-II and III cities to resemble those of larger metros. Sowmya Ramasubramanian explores how the rise of food delivery services is accelerating the modernization of small-town restaurants. Delhi’s political landscape is heating up as the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) seeks a return to state power after 27 years. Despite its dominance in Lok Sabha elections, the BJP has struggled in state polls, where Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) remains a formidable force. Without a chief ministerial face, the BJP is relying on Narendra Modi’s appeal, framing the contest as a direct face-off between Modi and Kejriwal. For the AAP, this election is a fight for survival. Despite corruption scandals and key leaders behind bars, its voter base remains loyal, drawn to its free public services and infrastructure improvements in healthcare, education, and electricity. Meanwhile, Congress, once Delhi’s dominant force, is a distant third, attempting to revive its relevance with promises mirroring AAP’s welfare model. Ruhi Tewari explores the high-stakes political battle in poll-bound Delhi in today’s Long Story.
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    7 mins
  • How Trump’s tariffs on Canada and Mexico affect India

    How Trump’s tariffs on Canada and Mexico affect India
    Feb 3 2025
    Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Monday, February 3, 2025. This is Nelson John, let's get started. US President Donald Trump has implemented tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, citing a national emergency related to drug trafficking. Starting February 4, imports from Canada and Mexico will face a 25% tariff, except for Canadian oil which will see a 10% duty. Chinese imports will incur an additional 10% tariff. These tariffs are expected to increase prices in the US, potentially driving up inflation and slowing economic growth globally. In response, Canada has already slapped a 25% tariff on US imports worth Canadian $155 billion. Mexico and China have also promised retaliatory measures. The move has sparked concerns of a potential trade war, with Trump suggesting he might extend tariffs to other countries, including India. This could fundamentally alter global trade dynamics. Read N Madhavan’s primer on Trump’s latest decision to impose the tariffs and how it could affect India. Naveen Jindal, chairman of Jindal Steel and Power Ltd, is expanding his steel empire globally, setting up a network of mines and steel plants across Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. He's a contender to acquire Italy's largest steel plant, Acciaierie d’Italia, potentially adding significant capacity to his operations. His privately-owned ventures, distinct from the publicly-listed JSPL, could match the scale of his Indian operations by 2028. Jindal's strategy includes developing end-to-end operations from mining in Mozambique and Cameroon to steel production in Oman and processing in the Czech Republic. This expansion has raised corporate governance concerns regarding potential conflicts of interest with JSPL. However, Jindal has taken steps to mitigate these concerns, such as resigning from an executive role and ensuring his private companies do not transact with JSPL, Nehal Chaliawala writes. Critics still question why these expansions are not under JSPL’s umbrella, suggesting that it could protect the listed company from potential risks associated with international ventures. Foreign portfolio investors were notably absent from India's markets during the special budget session, setting the stage for what analysts anticipate could be a negative reaction in the markets. This comes amid concerns about a global trade war and ahead of a critical monetary policy announcement. Analysts Ram Sahgal spoke to, suggest that the government's focus on boosting consumption over capital expenditure and fears of an expanding global trade war might have spurred FPIs to adopt a cautious approach. FPIs have been net sellers in the Indian cash market since October, offloading shares worth ₹2.38 trillion through the end of January. They have also increased their bearish bets by shorting index futures and selling index call options—moves that reflect a heightened sense of caution and concern over India's corporate profitability and economic growth prospects amid global uncertainties. On the eve of the budget, FPIs significantly increased their short positions in Nifty and Bank Nifty call options, indicating a strong bearish stance. Recruiters are sceptical about the Union budget's plan to reduce migration by boosting job opportunities in rural areas and tier-II and -III cities. Devina Sengupta spoke to recruiters who argue that unless there's significant development in these areas, the pull towards India's 30 biggest cities will continue due to better employment opportunities and higher wages. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman emphasized in her budget speech that the aim is to create enough jobs in rural areas to make migration unnecessary. However, recruiters like Aditya Narayan Mishra of CIEL HR Services point out that economic growth remains uneven across the country, with specific industries concentrated in certain states like Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka. This makes migration inevitable as job seekers move towards these hubs for better prospects. While the government plans to develop Global Capability Centres in smaller cities to ease the strain on major urban areas, recruiters call for more concrete plans on how these and other job creation initiatives will be implemented. Robust personal income tax revenue, showing strong buoyancy, facilitated substantial tax relief in the FY26 budget, Finance Secretary Tuhin Kanta Pandey highlighted. In a post-budget interview with Rhik Kundu and Gireesh Chandra Prasad, he explained that this would help counterbalance the effects of the recent tax cuts. The government is also pushing for mandatory deregulation reforms. These are required for states to access part of the Centre's 50-year interest-free loans for capital expenditure. Additionally, the 16th Finance Commission, led by Arvind Panagariya, is set to guide state governments on reducing their debt, aiming...
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    8 mins
  • Will the FM deliver a fiscal bazooka?

    Will the FM deliver a fiscal bazooka?
    Jan 31 2025
    Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Friday, January 31, 2025. This is Nelson John, let's get started. India's affluent are reviving their investment in IPOs, evident from the significant funds they've poured into the market in 2024. High-net-worth individuals (HNIs), with assets over ₹5 crore, have shown a notable increase in IPO subscriptions, reaching a three-year high. The bullish sentiment among these investors is fueled by the substantial listing gains observed post-pandemic, enhancing their risk appetite, Dipti Sharma writes. This trend aligns with a broader surge in equity investments, reflecting heightened investor confidence and a robust appetite for high-risk, high-reward opportunities. The resurgence in IPO investments among India's wealthy is part of a broader narrative of rising affluence and entrepreneurship within the country, contributing to its dynamic economic landscape. DeepSeek, a Chinese AI lab, made headlines by developing its R1 model using less costly hardware and a fraction of the budget traditionally used by heavyweights like OpenAI and Google. This model, built for under $6 million, demonstrates that advanced AI can be achieved without immense financial outlay or extensive infrastructure, challenging the dominance of major tech giants. The controversy surrounding DeepSeek involves allegations from OpenAI, suggesting that DeepSeek might have used data or techniques from OpenAI's models without authorization, potentially breaching intellectual property rights. This issue of data 'distillation'—where a complex model's output is used to train another model—brings up serious ethical and legal implications, especially if done without proper licensing. Leslie D’Monte explains the controversy around DeepSeek and the allegations on it. India is stepping up its game in the global AI race, aiming to develop its own foundational AI models similar to prominent models like OpenAI's ChatGPT and DeepSeek's R1. The initiative, led by Electronics and Information Technology Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw, focuses on creating AI solutions that reflect India's linguistic and cultural diversity, promising more affordable and quicker development than current global standards. To facilitate this ambitious project, the government plans to launch a common compute facility equipped with 18,693 GPUs supplied by major domestic companies, Gulveen Aulakh reports. This facility will be accessible to startups, researchers, and developers through an online portal, ensuring broad participation and fostering innovation at various levels. This move is strategically positioned not just to foster technological advancement but also to accommodate geopolitical and economic considerations. The Good Glamm Group, previously welcomed into the unicorn club in 2021, is now facing significant financial distress as it prepares for a crucial restructuring. Expected to drastically lower its valuation, this restructuring is similar to Pharmeasy's experience in 2020 and involves raising new capital, likely at terms unfavourable to current shareholders. With existing investors like Prosus and Warburg Pincus unlikely to participate, this move could result in their stakes being wiped out completely from the company's cap table, Ranjani Raghavan writes. Amid this turmoil, three investor directors from prominent venture firms resigned last year, indicating deeper concerns about the firm's direction and the potential impacts on their reputations and other investments. As Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman finalizes her speech for the upcoming budget presentation on February 1, concerns linger over India’s economic trajectory despite its status as the world's fastest-growing large economy post-covid. After an impressive average growth of over 8% for three years, India's GDP growth slowed to 5.4% in Q2 of FY 2024-25. This deceleration, according to Sitharaman, is temporary, with expectations of recovery in upcoming quarters, although advance indicators and the RBI's revised forecast suggest a growth of just 6.6% for the year. The Modi government’s strategy has focused on public capex to stimulate growth and attract private investment, avoiding direct fiscal stimuli to prevent inflation and fiscal issues experienced post-2008 financial crisis. Yet, private investment remains sluggish, and there's debate over whether India should adjust its economic strategy. The upcoming budget may include a modest stimulus to boost consumer spending while continuing with fiscal consolidation, targeting a fiscal deficit of 4.5% by FY 2025-26. So, will the finance minister deliver a fiscal bazooka on Feb 1? N Madhavan tackles that question in today’s Long Story.
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    7 mins