• Recurve Capital's Aaron Chan on the scalability of Carvana's $CVNA business model

  • Feb 4 2025
  • Length: 1 hr and 13 mins
  • Podcast

Recurve Capital's Aaron Chan on the scalability of Carvana's $CVNA business model

  • Summary

  • Aaron Chan, Founder and Managing Partner at Recurve Capital LLC, joins the podcast to discuss his thesis on Carvana Co. (NYSE: CVNA), the leading e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars.

    For more information about Aaron Chan and Recurve Capital, please visit: https://recurvecap.com/

    Carvana - Recurve’s Response to Hindenburg’s Short Attack (article): https://recurvecap.com/insights/carvana-recurves-response-to-hindenburgs-short-attack

    Chapters:

    [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Daloopa

    [1:20] What is Carvana and why are they so interesting to Aaron

    [5:00] What is Aaron seeing with $CVNA thesis that that the market is missing; differentiated view on CVNA

    [9:39] Why the volatility and addressing that fear; factors for the wild swings

    [16:49] Competitive analysis - why is no one copying the $CVNA model

    [22:44] How much of an advantage is the national level of $CVNA's exposure

    [26:47] Brand building / advertising

    [30:30] $CVNA economics

    [37:09] Why are so many short sellers attracted to $CVNA

    [52:18] What Aaron thinks would be the reason $CVNA thesis doesn't work 3-5 years from now; downside risks to thesis

    [57:05] Can $CVNA profitably serve rural places and discussion on valuation

    [1:03:50] Why isn't every used car dealer dead and final thoughts

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