Nate and Maria take a closer look at the results of the election. They discuss polling errors, prediction markets, demographic shifts, and campaign strategy. And Nate shares some parting advice for President Biden.

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The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver

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Democrats and Republicans hope for the best and plan for the worst.

For a full list of sources, check out the Fiasco website.

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How public relations battles yielded big legal wins for the Bush team.

For a full list of sources, check out the Fiasco website.

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What happened in Palm Beach County when a bitterly-contested national election came to town–and who paid the price?

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On election night 2000 an ad hoc network of statisticians, news producers, TV anchors, and political operatives tried to figure out what the hell was going on in Florida–and failed spectacularly.

For a full list of sources, check out the Fiasco website.

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How the largely forgotten race between Al Gore and George W. Bush roiled Florida long before anyone had ever heard of a hanging chad.

For a full list of sources, check out the Fiasco website.

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Harvard epidemiologist and recurring guest Marc Lipsitch discusses what we can learn from omicron surge. Lipsitch also addresses some common omicron myths and discusses the possibility of a “master vaccine.”

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Zachary Karabell, financial executive and historian, discusses his recent book Inside Money: Brown Brothers Harriman and the American Way of Power, outlining the formation of American capitalism told through the history of one often-overlooked bank. He explains how the evolution of trust in financial systems has shaped American capitalism today and informs where it could go in the future.

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