Trading Bases
A Story About Wall Street, Gambling, and Baseball (Not Necessarily in That Order)
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Narrated by:
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Fred Sanders
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By:
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Joe Peta
About this listen
An ex-Wall Street trader improved on Moneyball’s famed sabermetrics to place bets that would beat the Vegas odds on Major League Baseball games - with a 41 percent return in his first year. Trading Bases explains how he did it.
After the fall of Lehman Brothers, Joe Peta was out of a job. He found a new one but lost that, too, when an ambulance mowed him down. In search of a way to cheer himself up while he recuperated in a wheelchair, Peta started watching baseball again, as he had growing up. That’s when inspiration hit: Why not apply his outstanding risk-analysis skills to improve on sabermetrics, the method made famous by Moneyball - and beat the only market in town, the Vegas betting line? Why not treat MLB like the S&P 500?
In Trading Bases, Peta shows how to subtract luck - in particular "cluster luck", as he puts it - from a team’s statistics to best predict how it will perform in the next game and over the whole season. His baseball "hedge fund" returned an astounding 41 percent in 2011 - and has never been down more than 5 percent. Peta takes listeners to the ballpark in San Francisco, trading floors and baseball bars in New York, and sports books in Vegas, all while tracing the progress of his wagers.
Often humorous, occasionally touching, and with a wink toward the sheer implausibility of the whole project, Trading Bases is all about the love of critical reasoning, trading cultures, risk management, and baseball. And not necessarily in that order.
PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio.
©2013 Joe Peta (P)2013 Random House AudioListeners also enjoyed...
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Critic reviews
"You don’t have to be a baseball analyst or former stock trader to connect with Trading Bases.... Trading Bases will help you to be that fan." (Dallas Morning News)
"A funny and stimulating account of a former stock trader who applies his Wall Street philosophy and knowledge of baseball statistics to try to beat the betting line." (The Chicago Tribune)
"His swaggering story, from frantic stock trader to professional sports bettor, is the basis of Trading Bases, an entertaining book about how to turn your passions into profits. Even casual baseball fans could learn from it. Serious fans should slurp it up like ballpark beer." (The Los Angeles Times)
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No one knew it when their experiment began, but without any particular genius or acumen, the motley cast of billionaires and hucksters behind the modern Premier League struck gold. Pretty soon, everyone wanted to try their luck, from Russian oligarchs to Emirati sheikhs, American tycoons, and Asian Tiger titans. Some succeeded beyond their wildest dreams. Some lost everything. Today, players are sold for tens of millions, clubs are valued in the billions, and games are beamed out to nearly 200 countries, all while the league struggles to preserve its English soul.
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Read don't listen
- By JR3 on 01-23-19
By: Joshua Robinson, and others
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The Index Revolution
- Why Investors Should Join It Now
- By: Charles D. Ellis
- Narrated by: LJ Ganser
- Length: 4 hrs and 18 mins
- Unabridged
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The Index Revolution argues that active investing is a loser's game, and that a passive approach is more profitable in today's market. By adjusting your portfolio asset weights to match a performance index, you consistently earn higher rates of returns and come out on top in the long run. This book explains why, and describes how individual investors can take advantage of indexing to make their portfolio stronger and more profitable.
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A better way to invest
- By BSuave on 06-17-24
By: Charles D. Ellis
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The Shift
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- By: Russell A. Carleton, Jeff Passan - foreword
- Narrated by: Kyle Tait
- Length: 9 hrs and 42 mins
- Unabridged
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With its three-hour-long contests, 162-game seasons, and countless measurable variables, baseball is a sport which lends itself to self-reflection and obsessive analysis. It's a thinking game. It's also a shifting game. Nowhere is this more evident than in the statistical revolution which has swept through the pastime in recent years, bringing metrics like WAR, OPS, and BABIP into front offices and living rooms alike.
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Baseball Players are Human? Who knew?
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From the simple to the intricate and the audacious to the absurd, Adam Kucharski reveals the long and tangled history between betting and science and explains why gambling continues to generate insights into luck and decision making today. Covering exploits and ideas from across the globe, he meets the teams behind hedge funds that capitalize on inaccurate sports betting odds and explains how PhD-level pundits are using methods originally developed for the US nuclear program to predict sports results.
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Nontechnical, wandering far beyond "gaming"
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Hedgehogging
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- Narrated by: William Dufris
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Rare is the opportunity to chat with a legendary figure and hear the unvarnished truth about what really goes on behind the scenes. Step inside the world of Wall Street with Barton Biggs as he discusses investing in general, hedge funds in particular, and how he has learned to find and profit from the best moneymaking opportunities in an eat-what-you-kill, cutthroat investment world.
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HedgeHotDogging
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Tap Dancing to Work
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When Carol Loomis first mentioned a little-known Omaha hedge-fund manager in a 1966 Fortune article, she didn’t dream that Warren Buffett would one day be considered the world’s greatest investor - nor that she and Buffett would become close personal friends. Now Loomis has collected and updated the best Buffett articles Fortune published between 1966 and 2012, including thirteen cover stories and a dozen pieces authored by Buffett himself. Loomis has provided commentary about each major article that supplies context and her own informed point of view.
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A collection of finance articles - not a biography
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The former ESPN columnist and analytics pioneer dramatically recreates an action-packed 2017 game between the Oakland A’s and eventual World Series champion Houston Astros to reveal the myriad ways in which Major League Baseball has changed over the last few decades.
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Solid overview of Baseball in 2018
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By: Rob Neyer
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Players
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For fans of Michael Lewis, the astounding untold story of how professional sports transformed, in the span of a single generation, from a cottage industry into a massive global business. In the cash-soaked world of contemporary sports, where every season brings news of higher salaries, endorsement deals, and television contracts, it is mind-boggling to remember that as recently as the 1970s elite athletes earned so little money that many were forced to work second jobs in the off-season to make ends meet.
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Starts slow...
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Real Madrid is the most successful sports team on the planet. The soccer club has more trophies than any other sports team, including 11 UEFA Champions League trophies. However, the story behind the triumph goes beyond the players and coaches. Generally unnoticed, a management team consisting mostly of outsiders took the team from near bankruptcy to the most valuable sports organization in the world. How did Real Madrid achieve such extraordinary success? Columbia Business School adjunct professor Steven G. Mandis investigates.
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awful
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The 2018 season was a coronation for the Boston Red Sox. The best team in Major League Baseball - indeed, one of the best teams ever - the Sox won 108 regular season games and then romped through the postseason, going 11-3 against the three next-strongest teams baseball had to offer. As Alex Speier reveals, the Sox’ success wasn’t a fluke - nor was it guaranteed. It was the result of careful, patient planning and shrewd decision-making that allowed Boston to develop a golden generation of prospects - and then build upon that talented core to assemble a juggernaut.
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Great read if you like the Red Sox or baseball ops
- By Amazon Customer on 01-11-20
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The End of Work
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From the author of Popular Economics comes a surprisingly sunny projection of America's future job market. Forget the doomsday predictions of sour-faced nostalgists who say automation and globalization will take away your dream job. The job market is only going to get better and better, according to economist John Tamny, who argues in The End of Work that the greatest gift of prosperity, beyond freedom from painful want, is the existence of work that is interesting.
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Positive... fun all the way... no boring parts
- By Robert J. Marks on 02-20-19
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More Money Than God
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- By: Sebastian Mallaby
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The Paul Volker Senior Fellow in International Economics at the Council on Foreign Relations, Washington Post journalist Sebastian Mallaby has garnered New York Times Editor’s Choice and Notable Book honors for his enthralling nonfiction. Bolstered by Mallaby’s unprecedented access to the industry, More Money Than God tells the inside story of hedge funds, from their origins in the 1960s and 1970s to their role in the financial crisis of 2007–2009.
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Valiant effort but lacking analytic horsepower...
- By ND on 01-10-11
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You Herd Me!
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In this age of billion dollar athletic marketing campaigns, “feel good” philosophy with no connection to reality, and a Sports Media echo chamber that’s all too eager swallow whatever idiotic notion happens to be in vogue at the moment, it’s tough to find people who aren’t afraid to say what they’re really thinking.
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Great book, Repeats majority of themes from radio
- By Troy on 01-20-14
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The Rule
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In The Rule, legendary trader and hedge fund pioneer Larry Hite recounts his working-class upbringing in Brooklyn as a dyslexic, partially blind kid who was anything but a model student - and how he went on to found and run Mint Investment Management Company, one of the most profitable and largest quantitative hedge funds in the world.
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Amazing story of how Larry Hite won at life
- By Amazon Customer on 04-07-22
By: Larry Hite, and others
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What listeners say about Trading Bases
Average customer ratingsReviews - Please select the tabs below to change the source of reviews.
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- Cameron
- 04-18-16
A fascinating book, but buy the print version.
With lively energy and a passion for the material, Joe Peta guides the reader through his journey from investment banker to investment better. His prose style is compelling, and he holds just the right mix of anecdote and analysis from cover to cover. The issue is that he does so with a myriad of statistics which, when read one by one, become incredibly tedious and difficult to interpret. Strongly recommend this book, but only in its print form.
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4 people found this helpful
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- Benjamin
- 02-28-14
Interesting baseball book for fans and gamblers
Would you recommend this audiobook to a friend? If so, why?
I have recommended it to my brothers and family. Every stock broker can learn something from this book.
What did you like best about this story?
The casual baseball stories Joe Peta tells.
Which scene was your favorite?
His daughters first baseball game.
Did you have an extreme reaction to this book? Did it make you laugh or cry?
Some moments made me laugh and other made me sad. Baseball has that effect on people. This guy knows baseball and transmits it clearly.
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2 people found this helpful
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- T.Tech
- 03-18-15
Entertaining & Informative!
This is an excellent book. It's fascinating to hear how the author combined his love of the game and his experience from Wall Street to profit by gambling on baseball. I love baseball and I'm not opposed to gambling on sports. I've never bet on baseball, partly because I didn't understand how it worked. The book explains in great detail about betting baseball and how it's very possible to use data to gain an edge. There are chapters that go over various odds and statistics for each team. I found those sections a little boring in the audiobook format but I'm sure they were great on paper. Still overalls it's an awesome book and the narrator did a great job.
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1 person found this helpful
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- TCfla
- 07-03-16
Interesting book better suited for reading than listening
Trading Bases was a great research based story involving formulas established to successful betting on baseball. There was ample background information to support the main story. With all the numbers and chart reading done by the narrator, it was a bit difficult to follow/remember the significance.
Being a baseball advocate, it was easier for myself to know the statistics the narrator referred to, but a casual reader would probably need a physical book to get a better grasp of the number crunching. There are long lists of statistics, and it definitely helps to know a little baseball history to comprehend the tables read aloud.
As with all books that give insight and strategy into making money, it intrigues me to find out how odds makers have altered their strategies in lieu of this book, if they did at all. It takes numerous hours and a high competency for statistics to put this knowledge to use, so I suspect there won't be a large number of new betters after reading/listening to Trading Bases.
I would listen to this book again, although it definitely has a larger effect when heard closer to when it was written. The strategies can probably be applied for future applications, again assuming on how odds makers change their strategies.
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1 person found this helpful
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- Jennifer
- 07-03-15
Excellent ideas!
This book had some very unique and excellent ideas! As someone who is a fan of baseball as well as an advantage player when betting on it, it was one of my favorite books I've read so far!
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1 person found this helpful
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- Matt
- 01-30-16
Interesting system and approach
Any additional comments?
Abridging the book for audio would have worked better, as just trying to read tables of information doesn't work too well in an audio book. Just summarising the important information would have worked better. The other content is good though.
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- Bob K
- 12-09-16
Living My Dream
This is a great book, and the author weaves the tale masterfully. The author is of a generation that was well educated in statistics and mathematics, loved sports, and had access to an unprecedented wealth of data. What he did with these gifts is a great story, and a dream of many people in similar circumstances.
There are basically two career paths that could lead a person to a life in sports wagering; Walk Street or stretch run at a local racetrack. Wall Street was the more respectable path, and is the path that led the author to his career.
If you have ever read a racing form and thought somewhere in here lies the answer this book is for you. If you ever watched a baseball game and moved back and forth between pitches to a baseball statistics website this book is for you, too. If you have done both, and invested in the more esoteric aspects of the financial markets as well, stop what you are doing and buy this book.
As for the audio book itself the narration is outstanding, the pacing solid, and the tale translates well to audio. I didn't have access to the spreadsheets, however, and if they are available through Audible I can't find them. I ended up buying the hard copy, so fair warning. That said I am sure it is our there somewhere, and it is well worth finding.
Overall, the casual sports enthusiast who likes a water now and again will love this book. The closet degenerate will treasure it.
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1 person found this helpful
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- Nate Gilman
- 12-09-16
Solid book but dry at times
If you like baseball and sabermetrics this is an interesting story. I found it a bit dry at times. It also gets into advanced math that might be better understood by reading the book. Fascinating story though.
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1 person found this helpful
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- Joe Peta
- 03-07-15
My Words Sound Better Out of Fred Sanders' Mouth
Have you listened to any of Fred Sanders’s other performances before? How does this one compare?
Certainly honored the man who read Born to Run -- a staple on the iPods of many of my running friends -- ended up reading my words.
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- mattjc1983
- 03-23-16
Very interesting!
Good listen, narrator is easy to listen to and subject is interesting. Lots of stats that would probably be easier to understand if visualized but not a huge problem.
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