Der Schwarze Schwan
Die Macht höchst unwahrscheinlicher Ereignisse
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Narrated by:
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Stefan Barth
About this listen
Der Weltbestseller, der uns die Augen öffnet und unseren Verstand herausfordert.
Schwarze Schwäne stehen symbolisch für das, womit wir nicht rechnen. Bis ins 17. Jahrhundert waren die Menschen in der Alten Welt überzeugt, alle Schwäne seien weiß. Dann wurde Australien entdeckt. Dort gibt es schwarze Schwäne - was keiner für möglich gehalten hatte, war auf einmal Realität.
Wenn uns im Alltag ungeahnte Überraschungen begegnen, ist das vielleicht noch nicht so schlimm. Suchen sie jedoch gesamte Volkswirtschaften heim, kann das System kollabieren. Denn unsere Welt ist fragiler, als wir denken: Schon kleinste Fehler können eine Katastrophe auslösen und sie ins Chaos stürzen.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb zeigt in seinem bahnbrechenden Meisterwerk, dass wir jederzeit mit "Schwarzen Schwänen" rechnen sollten. Der erstaunliche Erfolg von Google ist ein Schwarzer Schwan, die Terrorattacken vom 11. September 2001 und globale Finanzkrisen ebenso, aber auch der Siegeszug des Internets: Wer hätte damit allen Ernstes vorher gerechnet? Epidemien, die Mode, Ideen, die Entstehung von Gattungen und Schulen in der Kunst - all das erfolgt nach der Dynamik der Schwarzen Schwäne.
In diesem Hörbuch erfahren Sie:
- warum unsere Welt vom Extremen, Unbekannten und sehr Unwahrscheinlichen beherrscht wird;
- weshalb Menschen sich auf die Kleinigkeiten, und nicht auf die möglichen großen bedeutungsvollen Ereignisse konzentrieren, trotz der offensichtlichen Beweise für ihren starken Einfluss;
- wieso man keinen Börsengurus und Risikomanagern von Banken und Versicherungen vertrauen soll;
- weshalb das Lesen der Zeitung unser Wissen über die Welt verringert;
- was der große intellektuelle Betrug ist;
- warum Schwarze Schwäne sich nicht vorhersagen lassen.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, geboren im Libanon, ist Finanzmathematiker, philosophischer Essayist und Forscher in den Bereichen Risiko und Zufall. Seine Einsichten basieren in erster Linie auf einer zwanzigjährigen Tätigkeit im Wertpapierhandel. Er gehört zu den unkonventionellsten und provozierendsten Denkern unserer Zeit. Seine Bücher, darunter der Weltbestseller Der Schwarze Schwan, wurden in mehr als dreißig Sprachen übersetzt.
Die Originalausgabe erschien unter dem Titel The Black Swan. The Impact of the Highly Improbable.
In deiner Audible-Bibliothek findest du für dieses Hörerlebnis eine PDF-Datei mit zusätzlichem Material.
©2007 / 2010 / 2015 Nassim Nicholas Taleb / deutschsprachige Ausgabe beim Albrecht Knaus Verlag, München, in der Verlagsgruppe Random House GmbH. Aus dem Englischen von Ingrid Proß-Gill (P)ABP Verlag 2022Critic reviews
Der Schwarze Schwan hat meine Sicht auf die Welt verändert.
-- Daniel Kahneman, Nobelpreisträger für Ökonomie
Höchst unterhaltsam und spannend.
-- Financial Times
Taleb ist tatsächlich ein Philosoph... Jemand, der in der Lage ist, unser Weltbild durch die Kraft seiner Ideen zu verändern.
-- GQ
Ein brillant geschriebenes Buch über den Unsinn von Wirtschaftsprognosen.
-- Manager Magazin
Ein Klassiker.
-- Süddeutsche Zeitung
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