
US Tariffs Threaten Taiwan Economy: Trade Tensions Rise as Potential 32 Percent Levy Looms Over Key Semiconductor Exports
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On April 2nd, President Trump announced what he called “reciprocal tariffs,” imposing a sweeping 32 percent tariff on nearly all imports from Taiwan. This move followed an earlier announcement of a 25 percent tariff on autos, auto parts, and computers from multiple countries. The tariffs on Taiwan were met with immediate concern both in Taipei and across the global business community. Only a week later, the administration temporarily dialed back the tariff to 10 percent, putting the higher rate on hold for 90 days, a window set to expire on July 9th. Notably, semiconductors—Taiwan’s signature export—were initially exempted, but the threat of future levies on this key sector remains and is a constant source of anxiety for Taiwanese industry leaders, according to Taiwan Insight.
Taiwanese officials, including President William Lai, have taken to the international press to call for fairer trade terms and deeper bilateral ties. Yet analysts and negotiators caution that the Trump administration’s goals remain ambiguous and might result in an uneven playing field that would disproportionately benefit the United States. The administration’s protectionist stance—aimed at boosting U.S. manufacturing and reshoring supply chains—has left Taiwanese businesses fearing that tariffs could remain at 10 percent or even surge to 15 or 20 percent as negotiations progress. Lien, president of Taiwan’s CIER think tank, told Focus Taiwan that even under optimistic assumptions, growth prospects for Taiwan’s economy this year have been constrained by tariff worries, with GDP growth possibly limited to 1.66 percent.
Economic modeling and White House statements highlight the stakes: Taiwan’s trade surplus with the U.S. has ballooned to nearly $74 billion, making it a prime target for higher tariffs. The disadvantage is further exacerbated by the fact that some of Taiwan’s major competitors, such as Japan and South Korea, face lower tariff rates despite significant Taiwanese investment in U.S. manufacturing, especially in semiconductors.
The uncertainty is hitting markets hard. Global Taiwan Institute reports that Taiwan’s stock exchanges have seen significant losses since April, and industry leaders are adopting a wait-and-see approach as the 90-day pause approaches its end. There is some hope that a tailored trade deal could be struck to avoid further escalation, but the outlook remains cloudy. Premier Cho Jung-tai has announced an NT$88 billion support plan to stabilize the economy and help industries weather the potential fallout.
That wraps up today’s tracker on U.S.-Taiwan tariff tensions. Thanks for tuning in—be sure to subscribe for the latest headlines and insights. This has been a quiet please production, for more check out quiet please dot ai.
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