Episodios

  • Recession Worries Are Back
    May 25 2025

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    In this episode I talk about

    - Bond market and recession worries driven by weak 20Y auction, Moody's credit downgrade, tax bill etc.

    Earnings:

    - HD, LOW and TGT

    Continuing the theme of consumer and retail in light of weakening consumer strength, sentiment, and rising delinquencies.

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    25 m
  • Consumer and Retail’s Reality
    May 17 2025

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    In this episode I talk mainly about

    The big macro:

    - CPI, Core CPI, PPI, Consumer Sentiment, Powells Speech, and Retail Sales

    Earnings:

    - WMT, and ONON

    Additionally talk about 2 M&A deals: 3G Capital acquiring Skechers, and Dicks Sporting Goods acquiring Foot Locker.

    Focus is mainly on consumer and retail.

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    28 m
  • The Amazon Of...
    May 10 2025

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    In this episode I talk about

    The big macro:

    - Fed interest rate decision, strong labour market, the lack of a need for premature rate cuts, Trump vs Powell.

    - Strong demand for 10 year note auction, no disruption to global order, strength of the US economy, UK/US trade deal, potential China deal and more.

    Earnings:

    - PLTR, AMD, and CPNG



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    24 m
  • Big Tech Earnings Help Ease Recession Worries
    May 5 2025

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    In this episode I discuss macroeconomic data that came out:

    JOLTS, Consumer Confidence, GDP, PCE/Core PCE, Unemployment rate, Non farm payrolls.

    I also discuss earnings of "Big Tech/Mag 7":

    Microsoft [MSFT], Meta [META], Apple [AAPL], Amazon [AMZN].


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    33 m
  • Intel’s “Generational Comeback”?
    Apr 26 2025

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    In this episode I talk about earnings and outlook for:

    Tesla [TSLA]

    Alphabet [GOOG, GOOGL]

    ServiceNow [NOW]

    Intel [INTC]

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    27 m
  • If In Doubt, Maintain Forecasts
    Apr 21 2025

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    Focus on earnings of: Goldman Sachs, Citi, Bank of America, TSMC, Netflix.

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    25 m
  • A Game of Patience
    Apr 12 2025

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    In this episode, I discuss the macroeconomic environment, inflation data, consumer sentiment, tariffs and specifically the US vs China trade war. As we move into earnings season, I also discuss JPM earnings results, the outlook and what Jamie Dimon had to say this week. Briefly touch on MS, BLK, and WFC earnings as well.

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    26 m
  • Liberation Day or Isolation Day?
    Apr 5 2025

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    In this episode, I talk about the recent tariffs from liberation day. I talk about the nature of these tariffs and what I believe the impact on consumers and companies might be. I briefly mention how I think about playing this market scenario. I move on to mentioning TSLA delivery numbers and how one of the worst performing mega cap stocks this year continues to disappoint. I lastly end on discussing Apple's new healthcare initiatives and a potential new thesis/driver for the worlds largest company.

    Few corrections:

    19:12 - meant to say Musk not Trump.

    24:19 - TSLA shares are down closer to 40% not 30%.

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    31 m
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