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Lots to get through on this Father's Day... Severe storms likely early this week followed by some drying. I discuss the significance of that trend and what it will mean.

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Two days of severe thunderstorm threats coming up. Also, the latest EURO seasonal model came out today, and it still shows reason to be concerned this summer in the middle of the country.

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In Butte, Montana today for the mid-year meeting of the Montana Stock Growers Association. I discuss the recent rain, the importance of good forecast messaging, more active weather, and who could see problems develop.

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The last 7-10 days of May look potentially active for many of us. Many of us also need the rain, so let's hopefully capitalize on it.

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So much information to break down today... Big storm will deliver more much needed rain to those that need it. I also talk about when rain chances will return to areas farther south, and what the next few months have in store.

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I break down what the pattern looks like for the next two to four weeks. I also touch on some things in the seasonal forecast that I do not like.

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Beautiful rain for some of us and more to come through Wednesday. Trouble continues to brew in the pattern, as we move through the rest of May and into summer.

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I break down some of the latest forecast data for next week. I also caution folks on the May forecast and elaborate further who I am concerned about going forward.