US equities declined overnight with all three major benchmarks in the red. The Dow Jones declined 0.58%, the S&P500 down 0.56%, while the Nasdaq dropped 0.51%. S&P500 futures are on the rise after Nvidia posted earnings that beat expectations, its price advancing more than 4% in after-hours trading, so this may mean good news for tech investors today. Keep watch of ASX- listed AI stocks such as WiseTech (ASX:WTC), Xero (ASX:XRO) or NextDC (ASX:NXT).

European markets were also in the red, with the STOXX 600 closing 0.61% lower.

Locally yesterday, the ASX200 declined 0.13%. Financial and materials took the biggest hit, while energy and real estate were in the lead, following a rise in the consumer price index for April, which was held at 2.4% YoY. The market consensus was for it to slow to 2.3%. The RBA is looking at the data closely to ensure inflation, which is now back in the Central Bank’s target band, keeps tracking in the right direction.

What to watch today:

• The Australian share market is set to open higher, with the SPI futures suggesting a 0.15% rise at the open this morning.
• In commodities,
  • Crude oil has advanced 1.43%, currently trading at US$61.94 per barrel, as investors await an OPEC+ meeting expected to decide on increasing oil output. They’ll likely approve a 411,000 barrel per day production hike for July, continuing a trend of accelerating supply growth following a similar increase planned for June.
  • The price of gold is down 0.73%, trading at US$3,284.88 an ounce following the Fed’s meeting minutes revealing concerns around inflation and labour market weakness.
  • While iron ore is trading steady at US$99.39 per tonne.

Trading ideas:

• Bell Potter see Telstra (ASX:TLS) shares as fully valued. They have maintained a Hold trading on TLS with an improved 12- month price target of $4.65, up 7%.
• And Trading Central have identified a bullish signal in Whitehaven Coal (ASX:WHC) indicating that the stock price may rise from the close of $5.68 to the range of $6.90 to $7.90 over 50 days, according to the standard principles of technical analysis.

Wall St closed higher on the first trading session of the holiday shortened trading week as investors welcome the delay in tariffs on the EU announced on Monday. The Dow Jones rose 1.78%, the S&P500 climbed 2.05% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq ended the day up 2.47%. Tesla shares rose 7% on Tuesday after Elon Musk said he is shifting his focus away from politics and back into his companies, while AMC’s shares soared 22% after a record-breaking domestic box official over the Memorial Day long weekend that saw $326m spent at the movies over the highest holiday weekend ever.

In Europe overnight markets closed mostly higher in the wake of tariff delays on the EU region. The STOXX 600 rose 0.33%, Germany’s DAX gained 0.83% to close at a fresh record high, the French CAC fell 0.02% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day up 0.7%.

Across the Asia region on Tuesday, markets closed mixed as investors continue to assess the global trade climate following Trump’s delay to the EU tariffs until July. Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.51%, South Korea’s Kospi Index fell 0.27%, China’s CSI index lost 0.54% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng ended the day up 0.43%.

The local market started the week flat before rising on Tuesday as tech and the big banks buoyed the local index to a 0.56% rise at the closing bell yesterday.

Capstone Copper (ASX:CSC) led the ASX200 gains yesterday with a rise of 6.72% amid the rising price of the commodity on the back of Ivanhoe halting production at Africa’s largest copper mine due to seismic activity, pressuring supply side in a time where demand is escalating.

Floods in the Northern NSW Hunter region have already hit IAG (ASX:IAG) with the insurance provider announcing yesterday it has received around 2500 claims related to the flooding. Earlier this month, IAG said its net natural perils claims were estimated to be approximately $900m to the end of April, which is around $250m lower than the year-to-date expectation. Shares in IAG rose 0.7% yesterday.

Telstra shares rose yesterday after the telco giant reaffirmed FY25 guidance, expecting to hit the top end of free cash flow and capex targets, and launched its “Connected Future 30” strategy aiming for over 50% NPAT growth, stronger AI integration, and mid-single digit cash earnings CAGR by FY30.

What to watch today:

• On the commodities front this morning, oil is trading 1.05% lower at US$60.88/barrel, gold is down 1.36% at US$3301/ounce and iron ore is down 0.08% at US$99.81/tonne.
• The Aussie dollar has weakened against the greenback to buy 64.48 US cents, 93.03 Japanese Yen, 48.06 British Pence and 1 New Zealand dollar and 8 cents.
• Ahead of the midweek trading session here in Australia the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX will open the day up 0.60% tracking Wall Street’s rally on Tuesday.
• We have the all-important monthly CPI reading out today locally with markets expecting the annual inflation rate to fall to 2.2% for the 12-months to April.

Trading ideas:

• Bell Potter has maintained a buy rating on Propel Funeral Partners (ASX:PFP) and have slight lowered the 12-month price target on the leading full-service funeral providers following an update including guidance that has a midpoint of around 8% miss to consensus expectations amid lower seasonality uplift in April and May. The company is well funded and has strong pricing power hence the buy rating, the downgrade in price target is simply due to the company navigating some short-term volatility.
• And Bell Potter has increased the 12-month price target on Wisetech Global (ASX:WTC) from $112.50 to $122.50 and maintain a buy rating on the leading logistics software provider following the recent acquisition announcement of e2open and a delay in the launch of Container Transport Optimisation to 1HFY26.

Wall St was closed on Monday for the Memorial Day public holiday.

In Europe on Monday, markets closed higher as investors welcomed the delay of U.S. tariffs on the region until July. The STOXX 600 rose 1%, Germany’s DAX added 1.6%, the French CAC climbed 1.2%, and, in the UK, the FTSE100 was closed for a public holiday.

Across the Asia markets to start the week, markets closed mixed as investors digested Trump’s latest tariff move on the EU. South Korea’s Kospi index jumped 2% to its highest level since 2024, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 1.35%, China’s CSI index lost 0.6% and Japan’s Nikkei ended the day up 1%.

Locally on Monday, the ASX200 closed flat as investor sentiment was once again dampened by Trump’s tariff turbulence.

The Trump rollercoaster took another loop again from Saturday to Monday. In the space of 2 days the US president announced and postponed new 50% tariffs on Europe, like he has done in recent times with China and other regions. While the step may be to prompt negotiation talks, the on-again-off-again tariffs reignited investor uncertainty on Monday which has prompted global market selloffs both late last week and locally to start the new weeks on a sour note.

Uranium miners extended their rally from Friday following Trump’s move to sign an executive order to ease the regulatory process for new nuclear reactors and enhance supply chains in attempt to ease dependence on China and Russia for uranium supplies and production. For companies like Boss Energy that has an interest in a South Texan mine, demand for Aussie uranium producers is set to rise following Trump’s latest move, which boosts the growth outlook for such stocks in the eye of investors. Boss Energy rose 7.29% on Monday while Deep Yellow soared 13.65% to start the week on a strong note.

What to watch today:

• On the commodities front this morning oil is trading 0.02% lower at US$61.52/barrel, gold is down 0.5% at US$3341/ounce and iron ore is down 0.08% at US$99.81/ounce.
• The Aussie dollar has weakened slightly against the greenback to buy 64.91 US cents, 92.68 Japanese Yen, 47.99 British pence and 1 New Zealand dollar and 8 cents.
• Ahead of Tuesday’s session on the ASX, the SPI futures are anticipating the local market will open the new trading day up 0.32%.

Trading Ideas:

• Bell Potter has initiated coverage of Region Group (ASX:RGN) with a buy rating and a 12-month price target of $2.65. The internally managed REIT and largest owner of Australian supermarket-based shopping centres has strong near-term income growth potential, underpinned by its liquidity and resilient income streams according to the analyst.
• And Trading Central has identified a bearish signal on Woolworths (ASX:WOW) following the formation of a pattern over a period of 8-days which is roughly the same amount of time the share price may fall from the close of $31.89 to the range of $29.60 to $30.10 according to standard principles of technical analysis.