
U.S. Tariffs Soar to 17.6% in 2025 Impacting Mexico Trade Costs Households Nearly $2300 Annually
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Listeners, 2025 has already seen the sharpest increase in U.S. tariffs in nearly a century. According to The Budget Lab at Yale, the average effective U.S. tariff rate now stands at 17.6%, the highest since 1934, with estimates that the new tariff regime has raised the cost of living by about 1.7% for American households—a hit of $2,300 per year. For context, that’s a significant increase from pre-2025 levels, where the typical tariff hovered closer to 2.5%.
For Mexico specifically, the tariff landscape has shifted dramatically following a wave of executive orders from President Trump. Back in March, the administration imposed 25% tariffs on steel, aluminum, and automobile imports, including those from Mexico, citing national security concerns and ongoing disputes over issues like water delivery from the Rio Grande. At the same time, Mexican goods benefiting from the USMCA, the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, remain exempt from these new tariffs, offering some limited relief for compliant auto parts and certain other goods, although officials note that only about half of Mexican exports had sorted out the necessary paperwork by spring. By April, the scope of exemptions was extended, but the threat of further tariffs persisted due to strains over water rights and ongoing discussions on drug trafficking.
President Trump’s escalation hasn’t just impacted Mexico; it set off a wave of retaliatory tariffs. Canada, for example, responded with its own 25% levies on billions of dollars in U.S. goods and is poised to ramp those up if no negotiation breakthroughs are reached. The broader trade conflict has created market volatility and complicated planning for North American manufacturers and retailers.
Just this week, President Trump signed yet another executive order extending the suspension of new “reciprocal” tariffs—originally set to take effect July 9—until August 1, 2025. The current baseline: a 10% tariff applies to nearly all imports, except for key sectors like semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, while Mexican and Canadian goods not covered under the USMCA face a 25% tariff. Notably, tariffs on autos and car parts are still in place, and officials warn that if negotiations stall, rates could increase further.
The White House claims that these tariffs will pressure trade partners into fairer deals, but with only two new agreements—one framework with the UK and a preliminary deal with Vietnam—many experts remain skeptical. Deutsche Bank and Bloomberg News both highlight the ongoing uncertainty for businesses, with U.S. importers shouldering the cost as they decide whether to absorb tariff increases, raise prices, or seek new supply sources.
Listeners, that’s the latest on the Mexico-U.S. tariff front—a story that continues to evolve week by week. Thanks for tuning in, and make sure to subscribe so you don’t miss our next update.
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