Lucas
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The Signal and the Noise
- Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't
- De: Nate Silver
- Narrado por: Mike Chamberlain
- Duración: 16 h y 21 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 5,075
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 4,275
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 4,259
Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger - all by the time he was 30. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data.
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4 out of 5 stars
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Learn About Statistics Without All The Math
- De Scott Fabel en 03-09-13
- The Signal and the Noise
- Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't
- De: Nate Silver
- Narrado por: Mike Chamberlain
Strong beginning and ending
Revisado: 08-29-15
The book starts strong with an interesting historical narrative about Protestantism and the advent of the printing press. Then it sort of meanders through some anecdotes of failed or successful predictions for what seemed like most of the body, the conclusion was also good, though felt like it should have been supported by clearer points made in the body.
I came away thinking the conclusion as a proposition was well written and fairly compelling, and what I took as weakness in the body might have been signs that the book was penned opportunistically on the heels of Silver's media attention rather than bringing anything new to the discussion about social psychology and the lack of statistical reasoning in the general (US) public.
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Carrots and Sticks
- Unlock the Power of Incentives to Get Things Done
- De: Ian Ayres
- Narrado por: John H. Mayer
- Duración: 9 h y 16 m
- Versión completa
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General3.5 out of 5 stars 45
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 26
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Historia3.5 out of 5 stars 28
Could you lose weight if you put $20,000 at risk? Would you finally set up your billing software if it meant that your favorite charity would earn a new contribution? If you’ve ever tried to meet a goal and came up short, the problem may not have been that the goal was too difficult or that you lacked the discipline to succeed. From giving up cigarettes to increasing your productivity at work, you may simply have neglected to give yourself the proper incentives.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Narrator drove me away
- De Lucas en 10-05-10
- Carrots and Sticks
- Unlock the Power of Incentives to Get Things Done
- De: Ian Ayres
- Narrado por: John H. Mayer
Narrator drove me away
Revisado: 10-05-10
I had a difficult time focusing on the content of the book through the awkward growl of Mayer. It often sounded like he was narrating a movie preview, and generally came across as a detached presentation of words with artificially injected inflection. In the end, I abandoned the book after a couple hours because the voice lacked genuine interest in the content, and otherwise seemed like a poor fit. What content I was able to consume was decent enough, but I can't speak to the full volume.
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