Anónimo
- 1
- revisión
- 0
- votos útiles
- 5
- calificaciones
-
Expert Political Judgment
- How Good is it? How can We Know?
- De: Philip E. Tetlock
- Narrado por: Anthony Haden Salerno
- Duración: 9 h y 48 m
- Versión completa
-
General4 out of 5 stars 107
-
Narración:3.5 out of 5 stars 95
-
Historia4 out of 5 stars 94
The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This audiobook fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future.
-
4 out of 5 stars
-
Five-star book, one-star reading
- De Christian Tarsney en 01-23-19
- Expert Political Judgment
- How Good is it? How can We Know?
- De: Philip E. Tetlock
- Narrado por: Anthony Haden Salerno
This is not a book to listen to.
Revisado: 01-06-22
I loved “Superforecasting,” but found this book impossible to listen to while running, cleaning, or commuting to work. The book constantly references appendixes that ate mot readily available. Tetlock’s ideas in this book are best communicated through a 5-to10 page article. Tetlock spends hours restating his findings without offering anecdotes or a narrative to make this book entertaining.
Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.
Has calificado esta reseña.
Reportaste esta reseña