OYENTE

David R. Smith

  • 2
  • opiniones
  • 0
  • votos útiles
  • 2
  • calificaciones

There's value despite unforgivable misses

Total
3 out of 5 stars
Ejecución
4 out of 5 stars

Revisado: 01-09-22

Friedman brings out some thought-provoking conclusions which gives this book value, despite some unforgivable swing-and-a-miss predictions.

Pros: I especially liked Friedman's predictions (generally) of a rise of Mexico and Turkey. Fascinating.

Cons: I'm listening to this book about 8 years after publication and it is so grossly wrong on the dismissal that China will ever amount to anything, that it seriously tarnishes the entire book. I ask myself, How could he have been SO WRONG? He gives his reason why and essentially never talks about China again for his entire 100 year-long prediction.

Also, one may say it's premature to declare his estimates of space warfare wrong, but I'm doing it anyway. As a member of the US Space Force, I can recognize that he gets wrong the some foundational aspects of space operations that derails his other predictions, such as: life support systems are an enormous percentage of the cost of aircraft, let alone space systems. There is essentially no good reason to send humans onto a geosynchronous orbit space station. Additionally, the big trend in military operations, especially for space it to create constellations of many small satellites, as opposed to big juicy targets. Change these two simple variables and his equation for future space events would simply not happen.

There's good, but this book is expiring with age quickly.

Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.

Has calificado esta reseña.

Reportaste esta reseña

Wow! Amazing Story.

Total
5 out of 5 stars
Ejecución
5 out of 5 stars
Historia
5 out of 5 stars

Revisado: 01-29-18

from the first few minutes I was hooked. I've got to say this is an incredible story!

Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.

Has calificado esta reseña.

Reportaste esta reseña

adbl_web_global_use_to_activate_webcro805_stickypopup