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Expert Political Judgment
- How Good is it? How can We Know?
- De: Philip E. Tetlock
- Narrado por: Anthony Haden Salerno
- Duración: 9 h y 48 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 107
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Narración:3.5 out of 5 stars 95
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 94
The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This audiobook fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future.
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4 out of 5 stars
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Five-star book, one-star reading
- De Christian Tarsney en 01-23-19
- Expert Political Judgment
- How Good is it? How can We Know?
- De: Philip E. Tetlock
- Narrado por: Anthony Haden Salerno
The narrator is as bad as the text is good
Revisado: 04-16-20
This book is amazing and should be read by every thoughtful person.
The narrator, on the other hand, is terrible. I listened as I read along within the book and was regularly distracted by his misreading words and his total inability to read logical notation. For example, he reads:
"~p" as "equivalent to p" and "(p is true | q is false)" as "p is true divided by q is false."
Such mistakes are simply inexcusable, especially for a high-level book like this.
That said, the text itself is absolutely amazing, but I can't imagine anybody really internalizing the message through audiobook alone.
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esto le resultó útil a 2 personas
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Behind Closed Doors
- De: B. A. Paris
- Narrado por: Georgia Maguire
- Duración: 8 h y 40 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 57,085
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 51,311
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 51,252
Everyone knows a couple like Jack and Grace. He has looks and wealth; she has charm and elegance. He's a dedicated attorney who has never lost a case; she is a flawless homemaker, a masterful gardener and cook, and dotes on her disabled younger sister. Though they are still newlyweds, they seem to have it all. You might not want to like them, but you do. You're hopelessly charmed by the ease and comfort of their home, by the graciousness of the dinner parties they throw. You’d like to get to know Grace better.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Wow
- De Designs by Prim en 08-15-16
- Behind Closed Doors
- De: B. A. Paris
- Narrado por: Georgia Maguire
The ending gave me chills
Revisado: 12-31-16
The ending literally gave me goosebumps! Good book- there were some points in the middle where I almost stopped listening due to the main character- but I'm glad I finished it!
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